A Latin poem roughly the same as posted will appear in HP:MoR inside Bacon's diary either as a quote or written by Bacon.

Created by gwern on 2011-08-22; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-08-22
• gwern said “see http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/77u/req_latin_translation_for_hpmor/ and http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/77u/req_latin_translation_for_hpmor/4oj4” on 2011-08-22
• Michael Stevens estimated 50% on 2011-08-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-08-22
• ahartell estimated 90% on 2011-08-23
• ahartell estimated 90% and said “Eliezer said specifically at a meetup that Harry would need to translate some latin from the Diary. This makes the prediction very likely in my opinion. http://forums.xkcd.com/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=62115&start=120” on 2011-08-23
• anonym estimated 40% on 2011-08-23
• drethelin   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-23.
• drethelin   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-08-23.
• drethelin   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-23.
• drethelin   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-08-23.
• drethelin estimated 95% on 2011-08-23
• gwern estimated 70% and said “bah, inside information. well, without that I think 50% was a good probability.” on 2011-08-23
• Jach estimated 75% on 2011-08-24
• gwern said “bleh, nope. it was godrif gryffindor (wtf were we even told his autobiography was in Latin in the first place?) marking wrong, http://www.fanfiction.net/s/5782108/75/” on 2011-09-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-01.