“I expect Apple to move to a modular architecture where the building blocks for high performance computers are generally Mac Minis.” —Robert X Cringely

Created by gwern on 2011-08-23; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by Michael Stevens on 2012-06-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-08-23
• gwern said “http://www.cringely.com/2011/08/is-the-mac-pro-dead/” on 2011-08-23
• gwern said “again, unusual architecture and have to penalize it a little. see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3135 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3136” on 2011-08-23
• Michael Stevens estimated 20% on 2011-09-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Would be a radical departure from what Apple does currently. ” on 2011-09-15
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 5% on 2012-04-26
• Michael Stevens   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-06-01.