I will burn any kind of optical disc between 2014-01-01 00:00 UTC and 2015-01-01 00:00 UTC

Created by bobpage on 2011-08-24; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by bobpage on 2014-04-03.

  • bobpage estimated 55% on 2011-08-24
  • bobpage said “I combined a bunch of Fermi estimates for this one, and was surprised it did not come out higheron 2011-08-24
  • gwern estimated 60% and said “I don’t know of any good WORM solid-state reliable long-term storage for bulk digital data which isn’t optical disc – tape seems even less likely than bluray or dvdon 2011-08-24
  • bobpage said “TrueCrypt rescue CDon 2014-04-03
  • bobpage   judged this prediction right on 2014-04-03.

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