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My house will lose power when Hurricane Irene hits.

Created by gwern on 2011-08-27; known on 2011-08-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-08-29.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-08-27
  • gwern said “so far, we haven’t lost anything, not even Internet. what did happen was my car got crushed by a falling tree. unfortunately, I neglected to include a prediction for that…” on 2011-08-28
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-08-29.