“Chinese debt levels will continue to rise quickly over the rest of this year and next.” —Michael Pettis

Created by gwern on 2011-08-28; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 95% on 2011-08-28
• gwern said “http://mpettis.com/2011/08/some-predictions-for-the-rest-of-the-decade/” on 2011-08-28
• gwern said “hard to see how china could possibly hold the line on debt, much less decrease it either in absolute terms or percentage of GDP” on 2011-08-28
• mat33 estimated 80% on 2011-10-08
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.