“Chinese debt levels will continue to rise quickly over the rest of this year and next.” —Michael Pettis
- gwern estimated 95% on 2011-08-28
- gwern said “http://mpettis.com/2011/08/some-predictions-for-the-rest-of-the-decade/” on 2011-08-28
- gwern said “hard to see how china could possibly hold the line on debt, much less decrease it either in absolute terms or percentage of GDP” on 2011-08-28
- mat33 estimated 80% on 2011-10-08
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.
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