2013-2014: Chinese GDP growth <8% —Michael Pettis

Created by gwern on 2011-08-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 95% on 2011-08-28
• gwern said ““Chinese growth will begin to slow sharply by 2013-14” http://mpettis.com/2011/08/some-predictions-for-the-rest-of-the-decade/” on 2011-08-28
• Ken estimated 10% on 2011-09-10
• Ken estimated 90% on 2011-09-10
• pcm estimated 75% on 2011-10-20
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.