“[Chinese growth] will hit an average of 3% well before the end of the decade” —Michael Pettis

Created by gwern on 2011-08-28; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-08-28
• gwern said “http://mpettis.com/2011/08/some-predictions-for-the-rest-of-the-decade/” on 2011-08-28
• Anubhav estimated 40% on 2011-10-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-03
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.