2012: Chinese GDP growth 8-9% —Michael Pettis

Created by gwern on 2011-08-28; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2011-08-28
• gwern said ““there is a chance that we may see growth in China slow significantly in 2012, perhaps even to 7%, although I suspect that it will probably be in the 8-9% region.” http://mpettis.com/2011/08/some-predictions-for-the-rest-of-the-decade/” on 2011-08-28
• Anubhav estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
• gwern said “looks like it was 7.7%. close but no cigar” on 2013-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.