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I will not consider any of the next four chapters of HPMR to be as good as chapter 74.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-29; known on 2012-03-15; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2012-03-12.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2011-08-29
  • gwern estimated 60% and said “4 chapters may be a lot, plot-wise. I liked the last one quite a bit.” on 2011-08-30
  • JoshuaZ said “1 down. ” on 2011-09-01
  • Laurent Bossavit said “tags: personal” on 2011-09-04
  • JoshuaZ said “2 down” on 2011-09-04
  • fergus estimated 50% on 2011-09-05
  • JoshuaZ said “Three down” on 2011-09-12
  • gwern said “you didn’t like the snape chapter or harry vs dumbledore? ;_;” on 2011-09-12
  • JoshuaZ said “I liked them but not as much as chapter 74. I guess I’m a sucker for awesome rather than actual character development. ” on 2011-09-12
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2011-09-30” on 2011-09-30
  • anandjeyahar estimated 90% and said “Well as joshua has said he likes awesome more than character dev. and only one more chapter left, i doubt it has awesome.it’s more likely to have character dev.” on 2011-10-09
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2011-10-20” on 2011-10-21
  • JoshuaZ said “Still waiting on next chapter. Updating deadline. ” on 2011-10-21
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-15” on 2011-11-15
  • JoshuaZ said “Updating deadline. ” on 2011-11-15
  • Grognor estimated 73% on 2011-12-06
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2011-12-15” on 2011-12-18
  • JoshuaZ said “Updating deadline. ” on 2011-12-18
  • Anubhav estimated 40% and said “Why haven’t I placed an estimate on this? Anyhow, chapter 78 sounds like it’ll be pretty awesome.” on 2012-01-13
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-15” on 2012-01-16
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-12.
  • JoshuaZ said “It was a very close thing though. ” on 2012-03-12