“Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star” will get an average critic's rating of between 20-30% on rottentomatoes.com

Created by Øx on 2011-08-29; known on 2011-09-18; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-18.

• Øx estimated 60% on 2011-08-29
• gwern estimated 55% on 2011-08-30
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 40% on 2011-09-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-09-03
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: entertainment” on 2011-09-04
• fergus estimated 50% on 2011-09-05
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/bucky_larson_born_to_be_a_star/ shows 0% Any objections if I mark this wrong? ” on 2011-09-18
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-18.
• gwern said “I’m impressed. I was figuring that 20-30% was the floor for Rotten Tomatoes and one wouldn’t get much lower than that.” on 2011-09-19
• JoshuaZ said “I estimated against just because the range predicted was tiny. So I was correct in the prediction but still surprised by the result. ” on 2011-09-19