The ISS will continue to have crew continuously through the end of November
Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-30; known on 2011-12-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-12-01.
- JoshuaZ estimated 62% on 2011-08-30
- JoshuaZ said “See http://www.universetoday.com/88502/international-space-station-could-be-de-crewed-by-november/ and http://www.universetoday.com/88508/cause-of-progress-crash-may-have-been-determined/” on 2011-08-30
- gwern estimated 65% on 2011-08-30
- JoshuaZ said “tag:space” on 2011-09-04
- JoshuaZ said “http://www.universetoday.com/88917/russian-space-agency-sets-dates-for-resuming-progress-soyuz-launches/ suggests that it is unlikely to have an issue. tags: [ISS][space]” on 2011-09-14
- gimpf estimated 70% on 2011-10-08
- JoshuaZ estimated 95% and said “http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2011/10/31/great-news-russians-successfully-launch-soyuz-rocket-to-iss/ Soyuz was successful. Updating probability accordingly. ” on 2011-10-31
- chemotaxis101 estimated 90% on 2011-11-05
- chemotaxis101 estimated 90% on 2011-11-05
- velocirhymer estimated 90% on 2011-11-13
- JoshuaZ estimated 96% and said “http://www.universetoday.com/91011/dramatic-soyuz-docking-averts-potential-station-abandonment/ docking successful. ” on 2011-11-16
- NathanMcKnight estimated 95% on 2011-11-20
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2011-12-01.