PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

amigojapan on #lesswrong will translate a paragraph of the Anno Toprunner show for me.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-01; known on 2011-10-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-01.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-09-01
  • Laurent Bossavit said “tags: personalon 2011-09-04
  • gwern said “nope.on 2011-10-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-01.