PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will be put on moderation/expelled from the Miyazaki mailing list for providing a public archive

Created by gwern on 2011-09-01; known on 2011-10-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-01.

  • gwern estimated 55% on 2011-09-01
  • gwern said “see http://eva.onegeek.org/pipermail/evangelion/2011-September/007044.html and note the draconian security policies i had to navigateon 2011-09-01
  • papermachine estimated 85% on 2011-09-01
  • Pavitra estimated 25% and said “If it expires in a month, there’s a good chance that nobody will notice before then.on 2011-09-01
  • JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-09-01
  • Jach estimated 70% on 2011-09-02
  • Jach estimated 30% on 2011-09-02
  • gwern said “pavitra, that email was cc’ed to the miyazaki ML. it’s unlikely they did not notice. on 2011-09-02
  • gwern estimated 5% and said “what I did learn, in a ML reply to my little announcement, is that there is an existing (incomplete) public archive unmentioned in the official documents: http://www.imasy.or.jp/~fukumoto/n/archive.htmlon 2011-09-02
  • Laurent Bossavit said “tags: personalon 2011-09-04
  • fergus estimated 2% on 2011-09-16
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-01.