The Richard Dawkins article on Conservapedia will in one year have in its stable form a picture of at least one of Hitler, Stalin, or Lenin

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-04; known on 2012-09-04; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2012-09-04.

• JoshuaZ estimated 68% on 2011-09-04
• JoshuaZ said “See http://conservapedia.com/Richard_Dawkins tags, atheism, politics” on 2011-09-04
• gwern estimated 80% and said “wiki articles tend to be stable once they reach a long length, and conservapedia is locked down as wikis go. any reason to expect all 3 photos will be removed at all?” on 2011-09-04
• JoshuaZ said “Primary estimates for breakdown occur to breakdown of the wiki, or a fallout between Andrew and User:Conservative who is a sysop and controls that page” on 2011-09-05
• fergus estimated 70% on 2011-09-05
• Ken estimated 90% on 2011-09-10
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-10-10
• Grognor estimated 88% on 2011-12-06
• wallowinmaya estimated 85% on 2012-07-05
• antsan estimated 60% on 2012-07-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 90% and said “Updating on stability and short remaining time for prediction. ” on 2012-07-13
• kilobug estimated 90% on 2012-08-23
• saturn estimated 90% on 2012-08-25
• JoshuaZ said “Still has all thee. Marking right. ” on 2012-09-04
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2012-09-04.