Before the year 2300, there will be a Chabad on Mars.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-05; known on 2300-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-09-05
• gwern estimated 20% and said “Not sure if there will be anybody on Mars on 2300, much less a member of a particular sect. and this goes down if ‘Chabad’ refers to some sort of synagogue or other institution. the earth is a big place.” on 2011-09-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2011-09-06
• PseudonymousUser said “fwiw, prediction is “before 2300” not “on 2300”” on 2011-09-06
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-10-10
• Anubhav estimated 5% and said “Oops, misunderstood what ‘Chabad’ means.” on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Thought about this more. Initial estimate was way too high. ” on 2012-08-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-01-03