GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1004: Will the United Nations General Assembly recognize a Palestinian state by 30 September 2011?
Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-29; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-29.
- gwern estimated 1% on 2011-09-07
- gwern said “may be premature but US thinks can tie it up for a month? http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/headlines/2011/09/palestinians-inch-toward-un-vote-on-membership/” on 2011-09-29
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-29.
- gwern made the prediction on 2011-09-29