GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1008: By 31 December 2011, will the World Trade Organization General Council or Ministerial Conference approve the “accession package” for WTO membership for Russia?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-12-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-12-19.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern made the prediction visible to everyone on 2011-12-14
  • gwern said “huh, apparently I said yes on GJP, which means another flipped prediction costs me $500…on 2011-12-19
  • gwern said “or whups, other way; never mind, I deserved this hiton 2011-12-19
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-12-19.

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