GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1012: Will Italy's Silvio Berlusconi resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, OR otherwise vacate office before 1 October 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-03.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-09-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-10-03