GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1013: Will the London Gold Market Fixing price of gold (USD per ounce) exceed $1850 on 30 September 2011 (10am ET)?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-03.

• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-09-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-10-03
• gwern said “Didn’t see that gold price drop coming, and still don’t understand why it dropped.” on 2011-10-03