GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1014: Who will win the September 2011 Guatemalan presidential election, or will a run-off be needed? © Other or Run-Off

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-09-14.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-09-07
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-09-14.
• gwern said “now that was blind luck” on 2011-09-14
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-09-14