GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1017: Will Robert Mugabe cease to be President of Zimbabwe by 30 September 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-03.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-09-07
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-03.
• gwern said “ironically, I misread the original GJP page, and so I wound up placing a maximum bet for mugabe leaving! cost me $1000 total, leaving me up only $700 on net :(” on 2011-10-03
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-10-03