GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1019: Will Ali Abdullah Saleh cease to be Yemen's head of government by 30 September 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2011-09-30

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-09-07
  • gwern on 2011-09-07
  • gwern said “GJP has officially canceled the prediction because IARPA has canceled it for some reason – ‘inaccurate material incorporated in the additional scoring information’on 2011-09-14
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-09-14

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