NGE: There will not be a live-action Evangelion movie before 2015

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2011-09-07
• gwern said “not before 2020: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3272” on 2011-09-07
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-10-10
• gwern said “related news: ADV is suing just to maintain its live-action license! http://www.animenewsnetwork.com/news/2011-08-12/adv-sues-gainax-over-live-action-evangelion-option (good luck with making the actual movies…)” on 2011-10-14
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.