NGE: 4.0 will be released in 2015

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.

• gwern estimated 17% on 2011-09-07
• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-09-12
• gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.

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