NGE: 3.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-09-07
• gwern said “the fans would go nuts if we waited 3-4 years for it and it was barely longer than a Katangatari episode. as well, they have way too much plot to get through for <60 minutes” on 2011-09-07
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-01-10
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.