NGE: 4.0 will not be longer than 60 minutes
Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by eviscerator on 2021-08-14.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-07
- gwern on 2011-09-07
- gwern said “less certain than with 3.0 because probably even Khara has no idea what the hell they are doing with 4.0” on 2011-09-07
- eviscerator judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-14.