NGE: Sadamoto's Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as the NGE64 variant of EoE

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-07-26; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-05.

• gwern estimated 26% on 2011-09-07
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-01” on 2013-01-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-05.

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