My email to Rafaela Hillerbrand <> will bounce or otherwise be end in an error.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-09; known on 2011-09-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-09-17.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-09-09
  • gwern said “there, happy papermachine?on 2011-09-09
  • bobpage estimated 2% and said “reference class; recent documents containing iton 2011-09-09
  • gwern said “no error yet; no reply thoughon 2011-09-17
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-09-17.

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