Another episode of Firefly featuring most of the original cast (whether real or emulated or CGI) will be made before 2052

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-09-10; known on 2052-01-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 14% on 2011-09-10
• PseudonymousUser said “Feel free to hammer out judgement details if you really care” on 2011-09-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “CGI for a popular TV show and forty years for rapidly improving tech to get to be that good. ” on 2011-09-10
• JoshuaZ said “Actually, one major detail that could drastically alter my probability is the question of whether an episode will be considered official if the makers don’t own the rights to Firefly. ” on 2011-09-10
• PseudonymousUser said “Where we’re going, we don’t need “rights” ;) So, I’d say no, they don’t.” on 2011-09-10
• PseudonymousUser said “Some subjective details: if the episode is complete crap (i.e. worse than Heart of Gold), it doesn’t count.” on 2011-09-10
• gwern estimated 45% and said “I’d give this 50% but the ‘original cast’ clause narrows things down. (Would the Star Wars prequel trilogy satisfy a similar hypothetical prediction? No? then there are lots of Firefly episodes which don’t fulfill this)” on 2011-09-10
• Robert Kosten estimated 30% on 2011-09-11
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-03