Steel_ will have a custom capping business (specify a nootropic mix and have it delivered to you) running in a year.

Created by gwern on 2011-09-11; known on 2012-09-11; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-09-08.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-09-11
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2012-09-03
• gwern said “steel mentioned in the past few months in #lesswrong that he’s given up on this: FDA and insurance problems. marking wrong.” on 2012-09-08
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-08.