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I will be a USCF Master before I turn 23.

Created by Will Newsome on 2011-09-13; known on 2014-11-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-15.

  • Will Newsome estimated 60% on 2011-09-13
  • gwern estimated 55% on 2011-09-13
  • Will Newsome changed their prediction from “I will be a UCSF Master before I turn 23.” on 2011-09-13
  • Will Newsome said “(Whoops, United States Chess Federation, not University of California at San Francisco.)” on 2011-09-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2011-09-14
  • fergus estimated 50% on 2011-09-16
  • sweeneyrod estimated 40% on 2014-11-15
  • sweeneyrod   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-11-15.
  • sweeneyrod   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-11-15.
  • sweeneyrod   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-11-15.