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In ten years, people will be able to regenerate lost or damaged teeth for under $5k/tooth (2011 USD, inflation-adjusted).

Created by papermachine on 2011-09-20; known on 2021-09-16; judged wrong by papermachine on 2021-09-16.

  • papermachine estimated 70% on 2011-09-20
  • fergus estimated 90% on 2011-09-20
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2011-09-20
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% on 2011-09-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-09-20
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “quite some polarization here. am I missing some ongoging clinical trial about tooth regeneration?on 2011-09-20
  • roxton estimated 15% and said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_intensity_pulsed_ultrasound – But anything that requires multiple weeks of daily treatment isn’t going to cost under $5k.on 2011-09-21
  • gwern estimated 30% and said “yeah, I can see that… on the other hand, all you have to do is plug it in?on 2011-09-21
  • themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-07-30
  • pranomostro estimated 10% and said “Too early.on 2019-01-01
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2019-01-01
  • stepan estimated 100% on 2021-07-10
  • stepan estimated 100% on 2021-07-10
  • stepan estimated 10% on 2021-07-10
  • papermachine   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-09-16.