In ten years, people will be able to regenerate lost or damaged teeth for under $5k/tooth (2011 USD, inflation-adjusted).
Created by papermachine on 2011-09-20; known on 2021-09-16; judged wrong by papermachine on 2021-09-16.
- papermachine estimated 70% on 2011-09-20
- fergus estimated 90% on 2011-09-20
- PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2011-09-20
- Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% on 2011-09-20
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-09-20
- gwern estimated 40% and said “quite some polarization here. am I missing some ongoging clinical trial about tooth regeneration?” on 2011-09-20
- roxton estimated 15% and said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_intensity_pulsed_ultrasound – But anything that requires multiple weeks of daily treatment isn’t going to cost under $5k.” on 2011-09-21
- gwern estimated 30% and said “yeah, I can see that… on the other hand, all you have to do is plug it in?” on 2011-09-21
- themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-07-30
- pranomostro estimated 10% and said “Too early.” on 2019-01-01
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2019-01-01
- stepan estimated 100% on 2021-07-10
- stepan estimated 100% on 2021-07-10
- stepan estimated 10% on 2021-07-10
- papermachine judged this prediction wrong on 2021-09-16.