“The first person to do a special [specific] drawing for this thing will get fired” LBJ LBJ will be the first person to do a specific drawing for this purpose.

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-09-21; known on 2012-09-21; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2012-09-21.

• Ben Doherty estimated 60% on 2011-09-21
• fergus estimated 50% on 2011-09-21
• gwern said “?” on 2011-09-21
• Ben Doherty   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-21.