Southern Baptist Convention will not rename themselves in the next two years.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-21; known on 2013-09-20; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-09-20.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2011-09-21
  • JoshuaZ said “See tags [religion][politics][Christianity]on 2011-09-21
  • fergus estimated 90% on 2011-09-21
  • gwern estimated 80% and said “hm, only a 5% edge last time. guessing most of the confidence is reasoning from bureacratic delay?on 2011-09-21
  • JoshuaZ said “Bureaucratic delay, the denominations own traditionalist tendencies, and a general chance that they might not end up renaming at all. on 2011-09-21
  • JoshuaZ said “What do you mean by a 5% edge? on 2011-09-21
  • atroche estimated 99% on 2013-09-17
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-09-20.

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