By 2020, a former US government official will come forward to say that they were involved in planning the 9/11 attacks.
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2011-09-21
- JoshuaZ said “Chance that someone will lie about it. Look how there have been marginal people who have claimed to be involved in alien projects. This is a superprediction of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3426 tags [9/11 truth][politics]” on 2011-09-21
- gwern estimated 10% and said “glad you were clearer because when I saw it I thought ‘well, 0% for a major political appointee, but any random govt official, in their thousands and millions? that seems pretty likely at some point’. 10% is a guess on my part” on 2011-09-21
- fergus estimated 5% on 2011-09-21
- bobpage estimated 20% on 2011-09-22
- faws estimated 15% on 2011-09-23
- Anubhav estimated 5% on 2011-10-10
- themusicgod1 estimated 55% and said “but who would believe them?” on 2016-10-09
- pranomostro estimated 12% on 2019-01-01
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.
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