“The World Bank predicts that Yemen's oil and gas revenues will plummet over the next two years and fall to zero by 2017 as supplies run out.”
Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.
- gwern estimated 65% on 2011-09-25
- gwern said “http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7739402.stm http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2017.htm#yemen” on 2011-09-25
- gwern said “political turmoil may reduce the rate of extraction, I think. Not sure how much I trust the World Bank on this issue.” on 2011-09-25
- Robert Kosten estimated 60% on 2011-10-04
- themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-09
- gwern said “still about half of revenues, marking wrong” on 2017-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.