The recession will end this year

Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

• TwitterPredicts estimated 45% on 2009-06-01
• Lina estimated 30% and said “Assuming you mean the US ..” on 2009-06-01
• Arenamontanus estimated 50% on 2009-10-14
• jes5199 estimated 80% on 2009-10-15
• freyley   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-15.
• freyley   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-15.
• freyley estimated 75% and said “Perhaps judgement shouldn’t be at the top. =) And recession meaning -GDP only, no comment on unemployment.” on 2009-10-15
• anonym   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
• anonym   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
• anonym estimated 50% on 2009-10-17
• refragable estimated 80% and said “This may not be known for four or five months, if it is close.” on 2009-10-28
• gwern estimated 50% and said “http://useconomy.about.com/od/economicindicators/a/GDP-statistics.htm GDP 2nd half positive; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession#Definition marking right” on 2010-07-29
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.