The Gaia mission will launch in 2013
Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2014-01-01.
- gwern estimated 75% on 2011-09-25
- gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2013.htm#gaia-mission” on 2011-09-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 71% on 2011-09-25
- Robert Kosten estimated 70% on 2011-10-04
- JoshuaZ said “http://sci.esa.int/gaia/53536-esa-pr-44-2013-liftoff-for-esas-billion-star-surveyor/” on 2014-01-01
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2014-01-01.