'The East Side Access subway extension opens in New York' in 2016

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-02-16.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2011-09-25
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2016.htm#eastside from WP, it seems to be on schedule even…” on 2011-09-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2011-10-04
• gwern said “now predicted 2022: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Side_Access_subway_extension” on 2016-01-01
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01” on 2016-01-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-02-16.