'China launches an unmanned sample return mission to the Moon'

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2018-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-09-25
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2017.htm#china-moon” on 2011-09-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-09-25
• fergus estimated 50% on 2011-09-26
• Robert Kosten estimated 50% on 2011-10-04
• chemotaxis101 estimated 75% on 2011-10-09
• seifip estimated 60% on 2013-04-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 54% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang%27e_5” on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.