'Cosmetic surgery has doubled its market size' (in 2017 compared to 2010)

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2019-06-30.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-09-25
• gwern said “http://www.modernmedicine.com/modernmedicine/Cosmetic+Dermatology/Cosmetic-surgery-market-predicted-to-double-by-201/ArticleStandard/Article/detail/687494?contextCategoryId=40174 http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2017.htm#cosmetic” on 2011-09-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 67% on 2011-09-25
• fergus estimated 80% on 2011-09-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
• JoshuaZ said “Anyone have new data for this? ” on 2018-01-01
• gwern said “yeah, I’m not sure where to get data on this one…” on 2018-01-08
• Jayson Virissimo said “https://www.plasticsurgery.org/documents/News/Statistics/2018/plastic-surgery-statistics-full-report-2018.pdf <- TOTAL COSMETIC SURGICAL PROCEDURES % CHANGE 2018 vs. 2000 -5%. Seems unlikely the market size doubled.” on 2019-06-30
• Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-06-30.