Kelly Slater will win his 10th world title in 2010

Created by joloughlin on 2009-06-03; known on 2010-12-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-12-16.

• joloughlin estimated 50% on 2009-06-03
• Andy estimated 47% and said “Surely one last glory year…? I’d love it, but he’s getting old!” on 2009-06-03
• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-10-17
• gwern said “no 2010 world title: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_Slater#History_of_Wins so marking wrong” on 2010-12-16
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-12-16.