GJP: #1025 Will the Freedom and Justice Party win at least 20 percent of the seats in the first People's Assembly (Majlis al-Sha’b) election in post-Mubarak Egypt?
- gwern estimated 70% on 2011-10-04
- gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
- gwern said “GJP hasn’t released an official judgment but looking at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egyptian_parliamentary_election,_2011#Result it’s pretty obvious that FJP has won >20%. marking right.” on 2012-01-14
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2012-01-14.
- gwern said “GJP closed as right, if anyone was wondering” on 2012-01-25
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