GJP: #1025 Will the Freedom and Justice Party win at least 20 percent of the seats in the first People's Assembly (Majlis al-Sha’b) election in post-Mubarak Egypt?

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-14.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-10-04
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• gwern said “GJP hasn’t released an official judgment but looking at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egyptian_parliamentary_election,_2011#Result it’s pretty obvious that FJP has won >20%. marking right.” on 2012-01-14
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-14.
• gwern said “GJP closed as right, if anyone was wondering” on 2012-01-25