GJP: #1027 Who will win the January 2012 Taiwan Presidential election? (Ma Ying-jeou of the KMT)

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2012-02-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-20.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-10-04
• gwern said “as opposed to Tsai Ing-wen (DPP candidate) or ‘Neither’” on 2011-10-04
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-20.