GJP: #1027 Who will win the January 2012 Taiwan Presidential election? (Ma Ying-jeou of the KMT)

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2012-02-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-20.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2011-10-04
  • gwern said “as opposed to Tsai Ing-wen (DPP candidate) or ‘Neither’on 2011-10-04
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-20.

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