GJP: #1028 Will Moody’s issue a new downgrade of the sovereign debt rating of the Government of Greece between 3 October 2011 and 30 November 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2011-12-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-12-03.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-10-04
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-03
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-03.