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GJP: #1030 Will the UN Security Council pass a measure/resolution concerning Syria in October 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2011-11-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-11-01.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2011-10-04
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-10-04
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-01.
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-11-01