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GJP: #1031 Will the U.S. Congress pass a joint resolution of disapproval in October 2011 concerning the proposed $5+ billion F-16 fleet upgrade deal with Taiwan?

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2011-11-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-11-01.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-10-04
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-01.
  • gwern made the prediction on 2011-11-01