GJP: #1032 Will the Japanese government formally announce the decision to buy at least 40 new jet fighters by 30 November 2011?

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2011-12-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-12-03.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2011-10-04
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-10-04
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-03
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-03.