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NGE Rebuild: Kaji will die before Misato

Created by gwern on 2011-10-04; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by eviscerator on 2021-08-14.

  • gwern estimated 80% on 2011-10-04
  • gwern on 2011-10-04
  • gwern said “I should be making some allowance for ‘neither Misato nor Kaji’ dies, but I’m not sure how to structure the predictions” on 2011-10-04
  • eviscerator   judged this prediction right on 2021-08-14.