Steve Jobs’s will shall donate >=50% of his wealth to charity

Created by gwern on 2011-10-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2011-10-06
  • bobpage estimated 50% on 2011-10-06
  • gwern said “I am probably high by 10 or 20%, but I’m trying to compensate for my dislike of Apple & Jobson 2011-10-06
  • Robert Kosten estimated 10% on 2011-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 50% on 2011-10-06
  • gwern estimated 30% and said “eh. reflecting further, I should stop second-guessing myself.on 2011-10-06
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 40% on 2011-10-07
  • Anubhav estimated 10% on 2011-10-10
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01on 2012-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.

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